EOS/docs/akkudoktoreos/prediction.md

% SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0
(prediction-page)=

# Predictions

Predictions, along with simulations and measurements, form the foundation upon which energy
optimization is executed. In EOS, a standard set of predictions is managed, including:

- Household Load Prediction
- Electricity Price Prediction
- Feed In Tariff Prediction
- PV Power Prediction
- Weather Prediction

## Storing Predictions

EOS stores predictions in a **key-value store**, where the term `prediction key` refers to the
unique key used to retrieve specific prediction data.

## Prediction Providers

Most predictions can be sourced from various providers. The specific provider to use is configured
in the EOS configuration and can be set by prediction type. For example:

```json
{
  "weather": {
    "provider": "ClearOutside"
  }
}
```

Some providers offer multiple prediction keys. For instance, a weather provider might provide data
to prediction keys like:

- `weather_temp_air` (air temperature)
- `weather_wind_speed` (wind speed)

### Prediction Import Providers

Prediction import providers allow you to import prediction data from:

- A file or a JSON string (primarily for initialization), or
- The **PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/{provider_id}` endpoint (recommended for dynamic updates).

An external entity may update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data becomes
available. However, for production use or regular updates, you should prefer the **PUT** endpoint
over file or JSON string based imports.

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
Be aware that providing dynamic values via a file and/or JSON string **alongside other value
sources** can lead to unintended data overwrites. Moreover, after a restart, even outdated values
from the configuration may be reloaded. To avoid these issues, use the **PUT** endpoint for live
data and rely on file/JSON imports only for initial setup.
:::

The prediction data must be provided in one of the following formats:

#### 1. DateTimeData

A dictionary with the following structure:

```json
    {
        "start_datetime": "2024-01-01 00:00:00",
        "interval": "1 hour",
        "<prediction key>": [value, value, ...],
        "<prediction key>": [value, value, ...],
        ...
    }
```

If `start_datetime` is not provided EOS defaults to the `start_datetime` of the current energy
management run. If `interval` is not provided EOS defaults to one hour.

#### 2. DateTimeDataFrame

A JSON string created from a [pandas](https://pandas.pydata.org/docs/index.html) dataframe with a
`DatetimeIndex`. Use
[pandas.DataFrame.to_json(orient="index")](https://pandas.pydata.org/docs/reference/api/pandas.DataFrame.to_json.html#pandas.DataFrame.to_json).
The column name of the data must be the same as the names of the `prediction key`s.

#### 3. DateTimeSeries

A JSON string created from a [pandas](https://pandas.pydata.org/docs/index.html) series with a
`DatetimeIndex`. Use
[pandas.Series.to_json(orient="index")](https://pandas.pydata.org/docs/reference/api/pandas.Series.to_json.html#pandas.Series.to_json).

## Adjusted Predictions

Certain prediction keys include an `_adjusted` suffix, such as `load_total_adjusted`. These
predictions are adjusted by real data from your system's measurements if given to enhance accuracy.

For example, the load prediction provider `LoadAkkudoktor` takes generic load data assembled by
Akkudoktor.net, maps that to the yearly energy consumption given in the configuration option
`loadakkudoktor_year_energy`, and finally adjusts the predicted load by the `loads`
of your system.

## Prediction Updates

Predictions are updated at the start of each energy management run, i.e., when EOS performs
optimization. Key considerations for updates include:

- Predictions sourced from online providers are usually rate-limited to one retrieval per hour.
- Only predictions with a configured provider are updated.
- Some providers may not support all generic prediction keys, leading to potential gaps
  in updated predictions even after update.

## Accessing Predictions

Prediction data can be accessed using the EOS **REST API** via the `/v1/prediction/<...>` endpoints.

In a standard configuration, the [**REST API**](http://localhost:8503/docs) of a running EOS instance
is available at [http://localhost:8503/docs](http://localhost:8503/docs). This link provides access to
the API documentation and allows you to explore available endpoints interactively.

To view all available prediction keys, use the **GET** `/v1/prediction/keys` endpoint.

If no keys are displayed, or if the ones you need are missing, it indicates that your configuration
lacks the necessary prediction provider settings. You can configure prediction providers by using
the **PUT** `/v1/config` endpoint. You may save your configuration to the EOS configuration file.

## Electricity Fee Prediction

Prediction keys:

- `elecfee_consumption_amt_wh`: Total fixed fee for consumed energy per Wh (amount/Wh),
  accumulating all fixed per-Wh fees payable on consumed energy - such as network charge,
  concession fee, and electricity charge - into a single amount.
- `elecfee_consumption_amt_kwh`: Total fixed fee for consumed energy per kWh (amount/kWh),
  calculated from `elecfee_consumption_amt_wh`.
- `elecfee_consumption_percent_amt`: Total fixed surcharge on consumed energy, given as a
  percentage of the monetary amount already charged for that energy (%), accumulating all
  percentage-based surcharges - such as VAT - into a single percentage. Applied after
  `elecfee_consumption_amt_wh`, i.e. it is calculated on the raw price plus the per-Wh fee.
- `elecfee_feedin_amt_wh`: Total fixed fee for feed-in energy per Wh (amount/Wh), accumulating
  all fixed per-Wh fees payable on feed-in energy - such as network charge and concession fee -
  into a single amount. Applied after `elecfee_feedin_percent_amt`, i.e. it is deducted from
  the price as a flat per-Wh amount once the percentage deduction has already been applied.
- `elecfee_feedin_amt_kwh`: Total fixed fee for feed-in energy per kWh (amount/kWh),
  calculated from `elecfee_feedin_amt_wh`.
- `elecfee_feedin_percent_amt`: Total fixed deduction on feed-in energy, given as a percentage
  of the raw feed-in price (spot price) for that energy (%), accumulating all percentage-based
  deductions - such as a marketing or balancing fee retained by the aggregator - into a single
  percentage. Applied to the raw price before `elecfee_feedin_amt_wh` is subtracted.

Configuration options:

- `elecfee`: Electricity fee configuration.

  - `provider`: Electricity fee provider id of provider to be used.

    - `ElecFeeFixed`: Caluclates from configured time window fees.
    - `ElecFeeImport`: Imports from a file or JSON string or by endpoint data provision.

  - `elecfeefixed.consumption_amt_kwh.windows`: Time windows defining the total fixed per-kWh
    fee for consumed energy, accumulating fees such as network charge, metering fee, and
    concession fee into a single amount (amount/kWh).
  - `elecfeefixed.consumption_percent_amt.windows`: Time windows defining the total fixed
    surcharge on consumed energy, given as a percentage of the amount already charged,
    accumulating surcharges such as VAT into a single percentage (%).
  - `elecfeefixed.feedin_amt_kwh.windows`: Time windows defining the total fixed per-kWh fee
    or credit for feed-in energy, accumulating fees such as network charge and metering fee
    into a single amount (amount/kWh).
  - `elecfeefixed.feedin_percent_amt.windows`: Time windows defining the total fixed
    deduction on feed-in energy, given as a percentage of the raw feed-in price (spot price),
    accumulating deductions such as a service charge into a single percentage (%).
  - `elecfeeimport.import_file_path`: Path to the file to import electricity fee forecast data from.
  - `elecfeeimport.import_json`: JSON string, dictionary of electricity fee forecast value lists.

### ElecFeeFixed Provider

The `ElecFeeFixed` provider calculates the electricity fees from the configuration
of electricity fee time windows set up by the user.

### ElecFeeImport Provider

The `ElecFeeImport` provider is designed to import electricity prices from:

- A file or a JSON string (primarily for initialization). The data source can be given in the
  `import_file_path` or `import_json` configuration option.
- The **PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/ElecFeeImport` endpoint (recommended for dynamic updates).

The prediction keys for the electricity fee forecast data are:

- `elecfee_consumption_amt_wh`: Total fixed fee for consumed energy per Wh (amount/Wh),
  accumulating all fixed per-Wh fees payable on consumed energy - such as network charge,
  concession fee, and electricity charge - into a single amount.
- `elecfee_consumption_percent_amt`: Total fixed surcharge on consumed energy, given as a
  percentage of the monetary amount already charged for that energy (%), accumulating all
  percentage-based surcharges - such as VAT - into a single percentage.
- `elecfee_feedin_amt_wh`: Total fixed fee for feed-in energy per Wh (amount/Wh), accumulating
  all fixed per-Wh fees payable on feed-in energy - such as network charge and concession fee -
  into a single amount.
- `elecfee_feedin_percent_amt`: Total fixed deduction on feed-in energy, given as a percentage
  of the raw feed-in price (spot price) for that energy (%), accumulating all percentage-based
  deductions into a single percentage.

The electricity fee forecast data must be provided in one of the formats described in
<project:#prediction-import-providers>.

An external entity may update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data becomes
available. However, for production use or regular updates, you should prefer the **PUT** endpoint
over file or JSON string based imports.

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
Be aware that providing dynamic values via a file and/or JSON string **alongside other value
sources** can lead to unintended data overwrites. Moreover, after a restart, even outdated values
from the configuration may be reloaded. To avoid these issues, use the **PUT** endpoint for live
data and rely on file/JSON imports only for initial setup.
:::

## Electricity Price Prediction

Prediction keys:

- `elecprice_marketprice_raw_wh`: Raw electricity market price per Wh, always excluding fees
  (amount/Wh).
- `elecprice_marketprice_wh`: Electricity market price per Wh, including fees if configured
  (amount/Wh).
- `elecprice_marketprice_kwh`: Electricity market price per kWh (amount/kWh), calculated from
  `elecprice_marketprice_wh`.

Configuration options:

- `elecprice`: Electricity price configuration.

  - `provider`: Electricity price provider id of provider to be used.

    - `ElecPriceAkkudoktor`: Retrieves from Akkudoktor.net.
    - `ElecPriceEnergyCharts`: Retrieves from Energy-Charts.info.
    - `ElecPriceFixed`: Caluclates from configured time window prices.
    - `ElecPriceImport`: Imports from a file or JSON string or by endpoint data provision.

  - `elecpricefixed.elecprice_marketprice_amt_kwh.windows`: The time windows with associated
    electricity prices.
  - `elecpriceimport.import_file_path`: Path to the file to import electricity price forecast data from.
  - `elecpriceimport.import_json`: JSON string, dictionary of electricity price forecast value lists.
  - `energycharts.bidding_zone`: Bidding zone Energy Charts shall provide price data for.

Fees:

- If `fees` are given by the  ElecFee prediction, the electricity fees are added to the raw market
  price and stored in `elecprice_marketprice_wh`.
- The resulting price is calculated as:
  `(raw market price + elecfee_consumption_amt_wh) * (100 + elecfee_consumption_percent_amt) / 100`
  where `elecfee_consumption_amt_wh` and `elecfee_consumption_percent_amt` are given by the
  ElecFee prediction.

### ElecPriceAkkudoktor Provider

The `ElecPriceAkkudoktor` provider retrieves electricity prices directly from **Akkudoktor.net**,
which supplies price data for the next 24 hours. For periods beyond 24 hours, the provider generates
prices by extrapolating historical price data combined with the most recent actual prices obtained
from Akkudoktor.net.

Fees are applied if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.

### ElecPriceEnergyCharts Provider

The `ElecPriceEnergyCharts` provider retrieves day-ahead electricity market prices from
[Energy-Charts.info](https://www.Energy-Charts.info). It supports both short-term and extended
forecasting by combining real-time market data with historical price trends.

- For the next 24 hours, market prices are fetched directly from Energy-Charts.info.
- For periods beyond 24 hours, prices are estimated using extrapolation based on historical data
  and the latest available market values.

Fees are applied if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.

:::{admonition} Note
:class: note
For the most accurate forecasts, it is recommended to set the `historic_hours` parameter to 840.
:::

### ElecPriceFixed Provider

The `ElecPriceFixed` provider calculates the day-ahead electricity market prices from the configuration
of electricity price time windows set up by the user.

Fees are applied if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.

### ElecPriceImport Provider

The `ElecPriceImport` provider is designed to import electricity prices from:

- A file or a JSON string (primarily for initialization). The data source can be given in the
  `import_file_path` or `import_json` configuration option.
- The **PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/ElecPriceImport` endpoint (recommended for dynamic updates).

The prediction keys for the electricity price forecast data are:

- `elecprice_marketprice_raw_wh`: Raw electricity market price per Wh, always excluding fees
  (amount/Wh).
- `elecprice_marketprice_wh`: Electricity market price per Wh, including fees if wished (amount/Wh).

The electricity price forecast data must be provided in one of the formats described in
<project:#prediction-import-providers>.

An external entity may update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data becomes
available. However, for production use or regular updates, you should prefer the **PUT** endpoint
over file or JSON string based imports.

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
Be aware that providing dynamic values via a file and/or JSON string **alongside other value
sources** can lead to unintended data overwrites. Moreover, after a restart, even outdated values
from the configuration may be reloaded. To avoid these issues, use the **PUT** endpoint for live
data and rely on file/JSON imports only for initial setup.
:::

:::{admonition} Note
:class: note
No fees are applied, even if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.
:::

### ElecPriceSMARD Provider

The `ElecPriceSMARD` provider retrieves quarter-hourly German/Luxembourg day-ahead prices directly
from the public SMARD chart-data endpoint. It requests the required weekly chunks only and caches
the combined response for one hour. Missing quarter-hour slots beyond the published day-ahead
horizon are generated with the same daily or weekly seasonal ETS forecast as the Energy-Charts
provider.

Fees are applied if given by the ElecFee prediction.

The same raw SMARD series is also available as `FeedInTariffSMARD` for direct-marketing feed-in
revenue.

### ElecPriceTibber Provider

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
`elecprice_marketprice_raw_wh` is currently not filled by the `ElecPriceTibber` prediction.
:::

## Feed In Tariff Prediction

Prediction keys:

- `feed_in_tariff_raw_wh`: Feed in tarif per Wh, always excluding fees (€/Wh).
- `feed_in_tariff_wh`: Feed in tarif per Wh, including fees if configured (€/Wh).
- `feed_in_tariff_kwh`: Feed in tarif per kWh (€/kWh), calculated from `feed_in_tariff_wh`.

Configuration options:

- `feedintariff`: Feed in tariff configuration.

  - `provider`: Feed in tariff provider id of provider to be used.

    - `FeedInTariffAkkudoktor`: Retrieves raw day-ahead market prices from the public
      Akkudoktor API without
    - `FeedInTariffEnergyCharts`: Retrieves Energy-Charts day-ahead market prices and extends
      them to the configured prediction horizon when necessary.
    - `FeedInTariffFixed`: Provides fixed feed in tariff values.
    - `FeedInTariffImport`: Imports from a file or JSON string or by endpoint data provision.
    - `FeedInTariffTibber`: Retrieves Tibber's native quarter-hour energy-price component.

  - `energycharts.bidding_zone`: Bidding zone Energy Charts shall provide feed-in tariff for.
  - `feedintarifffixed.feed_in_tariff_amt_kwh.windows`: The time windows with associated
    fixed feed-in tariff (Amount/kWh).
  - `feedintariffimport.import_file_path`: Path to the file to import feed in tariff forecast data from.
  - `feedintariffimport.import_json`: JSON string, dictionary of feed in tariff value lists.

Fees:

- If `fees` are given by the  ElecFee prediction, the electricity fees are subtracted from the
  raw feed-in tariff and stored in `feed_in_tariff_wh`.
- The resulting tariff is calculated as:
  `raw feed in tariff * (100 - elecfee_feedin_percent_amt) / 100 - elecfee_feedin_amt_wh`
  where `elecfee_feedin_amt_wh` and `elecfee_feedin_percent_amt` are given by the
  ElecFee prediction.

### FeedInTariffAkkudoktor Provider

The `FeedInTariffAkkudoktor` provider uses raw day-ahead market prices from
`https://api.akkudoktor.net/prices` as `feed_in_tariff_wh`. Published prices are extended to
the configured prediction horizon with the same seasonal ETS or median fallback used by the
Akkudoktor electricity-price provider.

The Akkudoktor endpoint currently forwards hourly market prices from aWATTar. With a 15-minute
optimization interval, EOS holds each hourly price constant for its four quarter-hour slots. This
keeps the slot grid consistent but does not create genuine quarter-hour market prices.

```json
{
  "feedintariff": {
    "provider": "FeedInTariffAkkudoktor"
  }
}
```

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
`feed_in_tariff_raw_wh` is currently not filled by the `FeedInTariffAkkudoktor` prediction.
:::

:::{admonition} Note
:class: note
No fees are applied, even if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.
:::

### FeedInTariffDvhubOnline Provider

TBD

### FeedInTariffEnergyCharts Provider

The `FeedInTariffEnergyCharts` provider uses the raw Energy-Charts day-ahead market price as the
feed-in tariff. It stores raw prices in `feed_in_tariff_raw_wh` without adding electricity fees.
The data is loaded from the Energy-Charts `/price` endpoint for the configured bidding
zone. The native Energy-Charts resolution, including quarter-hour data, is retained.

Energy-Charts usually supplies prices only for the published day-ahead period. If that data does
not cover the complete configured prediction horizon, the provider extends it as follows:

- With more than 800 hours of history, an ETS (Holt-Winters exponential smoothing) forecast with
  weekly seasonality is used.
- With more than 168 hours of history, an ETS forecast with daily seasonality is used.
- With less history, the median of the available values is used as a constant fallback.

The seasonal periods are adjusted to the source resolution. For example, quarter-hour data uses
four values per hour. Values already supplied by Energy-Charts are kept unchanged; only missing
future slots after the last published price are forecast. Consequently, a 15-minute optimization
uses four forecast values per hour without converting them to hourly averages.

Fees are applied if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.

Example configuration:

```json
{
  "feedintariff": {
    "provider": "FeedInTariffEnergyCharts",
    "energycharts": {
      "bidding_zone": "DE-LU"
    }
  }
}
```

### FeedInTariffFixed Provider

The `FeedInTariffFixed` provider calculates the day-ahead feed-in tariffs from the configuration
of feed-in tariff time windows set up by the user.

Fees are applied if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.

### FeedInTariffImport Provider

The `FeedInTariffImport` provider is designed to import feed in tariff prices from:

- A file or a JSON string (primarily for initialization). The data source can be given in the
  `import_file_path` or `import_json` configuration option.
- The **PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/FeedInTariffImport` endpoint (recommended for dynamic updates).

The prediction keys for the feed in tariff price forecast data are:

- `feed_in_tariff_raw_wh`: Feed in tarif per Wh, always excluding fees (€/Wh).
- `feed_in_tariff_wh`: Feed in tarif per Wh, including fees if wished (€/Wh).

The feed in tariff price forecast data must be provided in one of the formats described in
<project:#prediction-import-providers>.

An external entity may update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data becomes
available. However, for production use or regular updates, you should prefer the **PUT** endpoint
over file or JSON string based imports.

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
Be aware that providing dynamic values via a file and/or JSON string **alongside other value
sources** can lead to unintended data overwrites. Moreover, after a restart, even outdated values
from the configuration may be reloaded. To avoid these issues, use the **PUT** endpoint for live
data and rely on file/JSON imports only for initial setup.
:::

:::{admonition} Note
:class: note
No fees are applied, even if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.
:::

### FeedInTariffSMARD Provider

he `FeedInTariffSMARD` provider retrieves quarter-hourly German/Luxembourg day-ahead prices directly
from the public SMARD chart-data endpoint. It requests the required weekly chunks only and caches
the combined response for one hour. Missing quarter-hour slots beyond the published day-ahead
horizon are generated with the same daily or weekly seasonal ETS forecast as the Energy-Charts
provider.

Fees are applied if given by the `ElecFee` prediction.

### FeedInTariffTibber Provider

The `FeedInTariffTibber` provider requests `priceInfo` and `priceInfoRange` with
`resolution: QUARTER_HOURLY` and preserves the native 15-minute timestamps. It uses Tibber's
`energy` spot-price component without the `tax` part or EOS electricity-price charges. The
end-customer `total` component is deliberately ignored.

The provider deliberately rejects hourly API responses instead of silently repeating them. It
reuses `elecprice.tibber.access_token` and `elecprice.tibber.home_id`, so no duplicate credentials
are needed.

```json
{
  "feedintariff": {
    "provider": "FeedInTariffTibber"
  }
}
```

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
`feed_in_tariff_raw_wh` is currently not filled by the `FeedInTariffTibber` prediction.
:::

## Load Prediction

Prediction keys:

- `loadforecast_power_w`: Predicted load mean value (W).

Configuration options:

- `load`: Load configuration.

  - `provider`: Load provider id of provider to be used.

    - `LoadAkkudoktor`: Retrieves from local database.
    - `LoadVrm`: Retrieves data from the Victron Remeote Management (VRM) API by Victron Energy.
    - `LoadImport`: Imports from a file or JSON string or by endpoint data provision.

  - `loadakkudoktor.loadakkudoktor_year_energy_kwh`: Yearly energy consumption (kWh).
  - `vrm.load_vrm_token`: API token.
  - `vrm.load_vrm_idsite`: load_vrm_idsite.
  - `loadimport.loadimport_file_path`: Path to the file to import load forecast data from.
  - `loadimport.loadimport_json`: JSON string, dictionary of load forecast value lists.

### LoadAkkudoktor Provider

The `LoadAkkudoktor` provider retrieves generic load data from the local database and scales
it to match the annual energy consumption specified in the
`LoadAkkudoktor.loadakkudoktor_year_energy` configuration option.

Prediction keys:

- `loadforecast_power_w`: Predicted load mean value (W).
- `loadakkudoktor_mean_power_w`: Predicted load mean value (W). Same as `loadforecast_power_w`.
- `loadakkudoktor_std_power_w`: Predicted load standard deviation (W).

### LoadAkkudoktorAdjusted Provider

The `LoadAkkudoktorAdjusted` provider retrieves generic load data from the local database and scales
it to match the annual energy consumption specified in the
`LoadAkkudoktor.loadakkudoktor_year_energy` configuration option. In addition, the provider refines
the forecast by incorporating available measured load data, ensuring a more realistic and
site-specific consumption profile.

Prediction keys:

- `loadforecast_power_w`: Adjusted load mean value (W).
- `loadakkudoktor_mean_power_w`: Predicted load mean value (W).
- `loadakkudoktor_std_power_w`: Predicted load standard deviation (W).

For details on how to supply load measurements, see the [Measurements](measurement-page) section.

### LoadVrm Provider

The `LoadVrm` provider retrieves load forecast data from the VRM API by Victron Energy.
To receive forecasts, the system data must be configured under Dynamic ESS in the VRM portal.
To query the forecasts, an API token is required, which can also be created in the VRM portal under
Preferences. This token must be stored in the EOS configuration along with the VRM-Installations-ID.

```json
    {
        "load": {
            "provider": "LoadVrm",
            "vrm": {
                "token": "dummy-token",
                "site_id": 12345
            }
        }
    }
```

The prediction key for the load forecast data is:

- `loadforecast_power_w`: Predicted load mean value (W).

### LoadImport Provider

The `LoadImport` provider is designed to import load forecast data from:

- A file or a JSON string (primarily for initialization). The data source can be given in the
  `loadimport_file_path` or `loadimport_json` configuration option.
- The **PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/LoadImport` endpoint (recommended for dynamic updates).

The prediction key for the load forecast data is:

- `loadforecast_power_w`: Predicted load mean value (W).

The load forecast data must be provided in one of the formats described in
<project:#prediction-import-providers>.

An external entity may update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data becomes
available. However, for production use or regular updates, you should prefer the **PUT** endpoint
over file or JSON string based imports.

:::{admonition} Warning
:class: warning
Be aware that providing dynamic values via a file and/or JSON string **alongside other value
sources** can lead to unintended data overwrites. Moreover, after a restart, even outdated values
from the configuration may be reloaded. To avoid these issues, use the **PUT** endpoint for live
data and rely on file/JSON imports only for initial setup.
:::

## PV Power Prediction

Prediction keys:

- `pvforecast_ac_power`: Total DC power (W).
- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total AC power (W).

Configuration options:

- `general`: General configuration.

  - `latitude`: Latitude in decimal degrees, between -90 and 90, north is positive (ISO 19115) (°)"
  - `longitude`: Longitude in decimal degrees, within -180 to 180 (°)

- `pvforecast`: PV forecast configuration.

  - `provider`: PVForecast provider id of provider to be used.

    - `PVForecastAkkudoktor`: Retrieves forcast from Akkudoktor.net.
    - `PVForecastVrm`: Retrieves forecast from the Victron Remote Management (VRM) API.
    - `PVForecastPVNode`: Retrieves native 15-minute forecasts from the pvnode.com API.
    - `PVForecastForecastSolar`: Retrieves forecasts from the free Forecast.Solar API.
    - `PVForecastSolcast`: Retrieves forecasts from the Solcast rooftop-site API.
    - `PVForecastImport`: Imports from a file or JSON string or by endpoint data provision.

  - `vrm.token`: Victron Remote Management (VRM) access token.
  - `vrm.site_id`: Victron Remote Management (VRM) installation ID.
  - `pvnode.site_id`: pvnode.com saved-site id. Leave empty for inline mode.
  - `pvnode.api_key`: pvnode.com API key.
  - `pvnode.site_id`: pvnode.com saved-site id. Leave empty for inline mode.
  - `pvnode.forecast_days`: Forecast horizon in days (1-7).
  - `forecastsolar.api_key`: Forecast.Solar API key (optional).
  - `solcast.api_key`: Solcast API key.
  - `solcast.site_id`: Solcast rooftop resource (site) id.
  - `pvforcastimport.import_file_path`: Path to the file to import PV forecast data from.
  - `pvforcastimport.import_json`: JSON string, dictionary of PV forecast value lists.

  - `planes[].surface_tilt`: Tilt angle from horizontal plane. Ignored for two-axis tracking.
  - `planes[].surface_azimuth`: Orientation (azimuth angle) of the (fixed) plane.
                                Clockwise from north (north=0, east=90, south=180, west=270).
  - `planes[].userhorizon`: Elevation of horizon in degrees, at equally spaced azimuth clockwise from north.
  - `planes[].peakpower`: Nominal power of PV system in kW.
  - `planes[].pvtechchoice`: PV technology. One of 'crystSi', 'CIS', 'CdTe', 'Unknown'.
  - `planes[].mountingplace`: Type of mounting for PV system.
                              Options are 'free' for free-standing and 'building' for building-integrated.
  - `planes[].loss`: Sum of PV system losses in percent
  - `planes[].trackingtype`: Type of suntracking.
                             0=fixed,
                             1=single horizontal axis aligned north-south,
                             2=two-axis tracking,
                             3=vertical axis tracking,
                             4=single horizontal axis aligned east-west,
                             5=single inclined axis aligned north-south.
  - `planes[].optimal_surface_tilt`: Calculate the optimum tilt angle. Ignored for two-axis tracking.
  - `planes[].optimalangles`: Calculate the optimum tilt and azimuth angles. Ignored for two-axis tracking.
  - `planes[].albedo`: Proportion of the light hitting the ground that it reflects back.
  - `planes[].module_model`: Model of the PV modules of this plane.
  - `planes[].inverter_model`: Model of the inverter of this plane.
  - `planes[].inverter_paco`: AC power rating of the inverter. [W]
  - `planes[].modules_per_string`: Number of the PV modules of the strings of this plane.
  - `planes[].strings_per_inverter`: Number of the strings of the inverter of this plane.

---

Detailed definitions taken from
[PVGIS](https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/photovoltaic-geographical-information-system-pvgis/getting-started-pvgis/pvgis-user-manual_en).

- `pvtechchoice`

The performance of PV modules depends on the temperature and on the solar irradiance, but the exact
dependence varies between different types of PV modules. At the moment we can estimate the losses
due to temperature and irradiance effects for the following types of modules: crystalline silicon
cells; thin film modules made from CIS or CIGS and thin film modules made from Cadmium Telluride
(CdTe).

For other technologies (especially various amorphous technologies), this correction cannot be
calculated here. If you choose one of the first three options here the calculation of performance
will take into account the temperature dependence of the performance of the chosen technology. If
you choose the other option (other/unknown), the calculation will assume a loss of 8% of power due
to temperature effects (a generic value which has found to be reasonable for temperate climates).

PV power output also depends on the spectrum of the solar radiation. PVGIS can calculate how the
variations of the spectrum of sunlight affects the overall energy production from a PV system. At
the moment this calculation can be done for crystalline silicon and CdTe modules. Note that this
calculation is not yet available when using the NSRDB solar radiation database.

- `peakpower`

This is the power that the manufacturer declares that the PV array can produce under standard test
conditions (STC), which are a constant 1000W of solar irradiation per square meter in the plane of
the array, at an array temperature of 25°C. The peak power should be entered in kilowatt-peak (kWp).
If you do not know the declared peak power of your modules but instead know the area of the modules
and the declared conversion efficiency (in percent), you can calculate the peak power as
power = area \* efficiency / 100.

Bifacial modules: PVGIS doesn't make specific calculations for bifacial modules at present. Users
who wish to explore the possible benefits of this technology can input the power value for Bifacial
Nameplate Irradiance. This can also be can also be estimated from the front side peak power P_STC
value and the bifaciality factor, φ (if reported in the module data sheet) as:
P_BNPI = P_STC \* (1 + φ \* 0.135). NB this bifacial approach is not appropriate for BAPV or BIPV
installations or for modules mounting on a N-S axis i.e. facing E-W.

- `loss`

The estimated system losses are all the losses in the system, which cause the power actually
delivered to the electricity grid to be lower than the power produced by the PV modules. There are
several causes for this loss, such as losses in cables, power inverters, dirt (sometimes snow) on
the modules and so on. Over the years the modules also tend to lose a bit of their power, so the
average yearly output over the lifetime of the system will be a few percent lower than the output
in the first years.

We have given a default value of 14% for the overall losses. If you have a good idea that your value
will be different (maybe due to a really high-efficiency inverter) you may reduce this value a little.

- `mountingplace`

For fixed (non-tracking) systems, the way the modules are mounted will have an influence on the
temperature of the module, which in turn affects the efficiency. Experiments have shown that if the
movement of air behind the modules is restricted, the modules can get considerably hotter
(up to 15°C at 1000W/m2 of sunlight).

In PVGIS there are two possibilities: free-standing, meaning that the modules are mounted on a rack
with air flowing freely behind the modules; and building- integrated, which means that the modules
are completely built into the structure of the wall or roof of a building, with no air movement
behind the modules.

Some types of mounting are in between these two extremes, for instance if the modules are mounted on
a roof with curved roof tiles, allowing air to move behind the modules. In such cases, the
performance will be somewhere between the results of the two calculations that are possible here.

- `userhorizon`

Elevation of horizon in degrees, at equally spaced azimuth clockwise from north. In the user horizon
data each number represents the horizon height in degrees in a certain compass direction around the
point of interest. The horizon heights should be given in a clockwise direction starting at North;
that is, from North, going to East, South, West, and back to North. The values are assumed to
represent equal angular distance around the horizon. For instance, if you have 36 values, the first
point is due north, the next is 10 degrees east of north, and so on, until the last point, 10
degrees west of north.

![Userhorizon PVGIS](../_static/horizon_eyefish_en.png)

Most of the configuration options are in line with the
[PVLib](https://pvlib-python.readthedocs.io/en/stable/_modules/pvlib/iotools/pvgis.html) definition
for PVGIS data.

Detailed definitions from **PVLib** for PVGIS data.

- `surface_tilt`:

Tilt angle from horizontal plane.

![Tilt PVGIS](../_static/slope.gif)

- `surface_azimuth`

Orientation (azimuth angle) of the (fixed) plane. Clockwise from north (north=0, east=90, south=180,
west=270). This is offset 180 degrees from the convention used by PVGIS.

![Azimuth PVGIS](../_static/azimuth.gif)

### PVForecastAkkudoktor Provider

The `PVForecastAkkudoktor` provider retrieves the PV power forecast data directly from
**Akkudoktor.net**.

The following prediction configuration options of the PV system must be set:

- `general.latitude`: Latitude in decimal degrees, between -90 and 90, north is positive (ISO 19115) (°)"
- `general.longitude`: Longitude in decimal degrees, within -180 to 180 (°)

For each plane of the PV system the following configuration options must be set:

- `pvforecast.planes[].surface_tilt`: Tilt angle from horizontal plane. Ignored for two-axis tracking.
- `pvforecast.planes[].surface_azimuth`: Orientation (azimuth angle) of the (fixed) plane.
                                         Clockwise from north (north=0, east=90, south=180, west=270).
- `pvforecast.planes[].userhorizon`: Elevation of horizon in degrees, at equally spaced azimuth clockwise from north.
- `pvforecast.planes[].inverter_paco`: AC power rating of the inverter. [W]
- `pvforecast.planes[].peakpower`: Nominal power of PV system in kW.

Example:

```Python
{
  "general": {
    "latitude": 50.1234,
    "longitude": 9.7654,
  },
  "pvforecast": {
    "provider": "PVForecastAkkudoktor",
    "planes": [
      {
        "peakpower": 5.0,
        "surface_azimuth": -10,
        "surface_tilt": 7,
        "userhorizon": [20, 27, 22, 20],
        "inverter_paco": 10000
      },
      {
        "peakpower": 4.8,
        "surface_azimuth": -90,
        "surface_tilt": 7,
        "userhorizon": [30, 30, 30, 50],
        "inverter_paco": 10000
      },
      {
        "peakpower": 1.4,
        "surface_azimuth": -40,
        "surface_tilt": 60,
        "userhorizon": [60, 30, 0, 30],
        "inverter_paco": 2000
      },
      {
        "peakpower": 1.6,
        "surface_azimuth": 5,
        "surface_tilt": 45,
        "userhorizon": [45, 25, 30, 60],
        "inverter_paco": 1400
      }
    ]
  }
}
```

### PVForecastVrm Provider

The `PVForecastVrm` provider retrieves pv power forecast data from the Victron Remote Management
(VRM) API by Victron Energy. To receive forecasts, the system data must be configured under Dynamic
ESS in the VRM portal. To query the forecasts, an API token is required, which can also be created
in the VRM portal under Preferences. This token must be stored in the EOS configuration along with
the VRM-Installations-ID (site_id).

```python
    {
        "pvforecast": {
            "provider": "PVForecastVrm",
            "vrm": {
                "token": "dummy-token",
                "site_id": 12345
            }
    }
```

The prediction keys for the PV forecast data are:

- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total DC power (W).

### PVForecastImport Provider

The `PVForecastImport` provider is designed to import PV forecast data from a file or a JSON
string. An external entity should update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data
becomes available.

The prediction keys for the PV forecast data are:

- `pvforecast_ac_power`: Total AC power (W).
- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total DC power (W).

The PV forecast data must be provided in one of the formats described in
<project:#prediction-import-providers>. The data source can be given in the
`import_file_path` or `import_json` configuration option.

The data may additionally or solely be provided by the
**PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/PVForecastImport` endpoint.

### PVForecastPVLib Provider

The `PVForecastPVLib` provider calculates PV power forecasts locally using the
[PVLib](https://pvlib-python.readthedocs.io/) simulation library. Unlike the
API-based providers, no external forecast service is required. The provider
uses the configured PV system geometry together with the weather prediction
(`weather_ghi`, `weather_dni`, `weather_dhi`, `weather_temp_air`, etc.) to
simulate the expected DC module power and AC inverter output.

The provider supports multiple PV planes and automatically sums their power.
Module and inverter models are selected from the CEC database by name or by
their nominal power rating. AkkudoktorEOS automatically generates and caches
the required CEC databases on first use by combining the current SAM database,
legacy PVLib entries, and the additional EMHASS models.

The following prediction keys are provided:

- `pvforecast_ac_power`: Total AC power (W).
- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total DC power (W).

Currently, the configuration options `userhorizon`, `optimalangles`, and
tracking systems (`trackingtype != 0`) are ignored. If no `albedo` is
configured, a default value of `0.2` is used.

### PVForecastPVNode Provider

The `PVForecastPVNode` provider retrieves native 15-minute PV power forecasts from the
[pvnode.com](https://pvnode.com) V2 API. Register a site in the pvnode web app and store the API
key together with the site id in the EOS configuration (saved-site mode). Alternatively, leave the
site id empty to send the configured `planes` geometry inline.

```python
    {
        "pvforecast": {
            "provider": "PVForecastPVNode",
            "pvnode": {
                "api_key": "your-pvnode-key",
                "site_id": "your-site-id",
                "forecast_days": 2
            }
        }
    }
```

The prediction keys for the PV forecast data are:

- `pvforecast_ac_power`: Total AC power (W).
- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total DC power (W).

### PVForecastForecastSolar Provider

The `PVForecastForecastSolar` provider retrieves PV power forecasts from the free
[Forecast.Solar](https://forecast.solar) API. No API key is required for the public endpoint; an
optional key raises the rate limit. The location is taken from `general.latitude`/`longitude` and
the system geometry from the configured `planes` (one request per plane, summed per timestamp).

```python
    {
        "pvforecast": {
            "provider": "PVForecastForecastSolar",
            "forecastsolar": {
               "api_key": null
            }
        }
    }
```

The prediction keys for the PV forecast data are:

- `pvforecast_ac_power`: Total AC power (W).
- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total DC power (W).

### PVForecastSolcast Provider

The `PVForecastSolcast` provider retrieves PV power forecasts from the
[Solcast](https://solcast.com) rooftop-site API. Register a rooftop site in the Solcast web app and
store the API key together with the resource (site) id in the EOS configuration. Note that the free
tier limits the number of API calls per day.

```python
    {
        "pvforecast": {
            "provider": "PVForecastSolcast",
            "solcast": {
                "api_key": "your-solcast-key",
                "site_id": "your-resource-id"
            }
        }
    }
```

The prediction keys for the PV forecast data are:

- `pvforecast_ac_power`: Total AC power (W).
- `pvforecast_dc_power`: Total DC power (W).

## Weather Prediction

Prediction keys:

- `weather_dew_point`: Dew Point (°C)
- `weather_dhi`: Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_dni`: Direct Normal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_feels_like`: Feels Like (°C)
- `weather_fog`: Fog (%)
- `weather_frost_chance`: Chance of Frost
- `weather_ghi`: Global Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_high_clouds`: High Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_low_clouds`: Low Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_medium_clouds`: Medium Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_ozone`: Ozone (du)
- `weather_precip_amt`: Precipitation Amount (mm)
- `weather_precip_prob`: Precipitation Probability (%)
- `weather_preciptable_water`: Precipitable Water (cm)
- `weather_precip_type`: Precipitation Type
- `weather_pressure`: Pressure (mb)
- `weather_relative_humidity`: Relative Humidity (%)
- `weather_temp_air`: Temperature (°C)
- `weather_total_clouds`: Total Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_visibility`: Visibility (m)
- `weather_wind_direction`: Wind Direction (°)
- `weather_wind_speed`: Wind Speed (kmph)

Configuration options:

- `weather`: General weather configuration.

  - `provider`: Load provider id of provider to be used.

    - `BrightSky`: Retrieves from [BrightSky](https://api.brightsky.dev).
    - `ClearOutside`: Retrieves from [ClearOutside](https://clearoutside.com/forecast).
    - `OpenMeteo`: Retrieves from [OpenMeteo](https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast).
    - `WeatherImport`: Imports from a file or JSON string or by endpoint data provision.

  - `weatherimport.import_file_path`: Path to the file to import weatherforecast data from.
  - `weatherimport.import_json`: JSON string, dictionary of weather forecast value lists.

### BrightSky Provider

The `BrightSky` provider retrieves the weather forecast data directly from
[**BrightSky**](https://api.brightsky.dev).

The provider provides forecast data for the following prediction keys:

- `weather_dew_point`: Dew Point (°C)
- `weather_ghi`: Global Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_precip_amt`: Precipitation Amount (mm)
- `weather_precip_prob`: Precipitation Probability (%)
- `weather_pressure`: Pressure (mb)
- `weather_relative_humidity`: Relative Humidity (%)
- `weather_temp_air`: Temperature (°C)
- `weather_total_clouds`: Total Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_visibility`: Visibility (m)
- `weather_wind_direction`: Wind Direction (°)
- `weather_wind_speed`: Wind Speed (kmph)

### ClearOutside Provider

The `ClearOutside` provider retrieves the weather forecast data directly from
[**ClearOutside**](https://clearoutside.com/forecast).

The provider provides forecast data for the following prediction keys:

- `weather_dew_point`: Dew Point (°C)
- `weather_dhi`: Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_dni`: Direct Normal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_feels_like`: Feels Like (°C)
- `weather_fog`: Fog (%)
- `weather_frost_chance`: Chance of Frost
- `weather_ghi`: Global Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_high_clouds`: High Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_low_clouds`: Low Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_medium_clouds`: Medium Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_ozone`: Ozone (du)
- `weather_precip_amt`: Precipitation Amount (mm)
- `weather_precip_prob`: Precipitation Probability (%)
- `weather_preciptable_water`: Precipitable Water (cm)
- `weather_precip_type`: Precipitation Type
- `weather_pressure`: Pressure (mb)
- `weather_relative_humidity`: Relative Humidity (%)
- `weather_temp_air`: Temperature (°C)
- `weather_total_clouds`: Total Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_visibility`: Visibility (m)
- `weather_wind_direction`: Wind Direction (°)
- `weather_wind_speed`: Wind Speed (kmph)

### OpenMeteo Provider

The `OpenMeteo` provider retrieves the weather forecast data directly from
[**OpenMeteo**](https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast).

The provider provides forecast data for the following prediction keys:

- `weather_dew_point`: Dew Point (°C)
- `weather_dhi`: Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_dni`: Direct Normal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_feels_like`: Feels Like (°C)
- `weather_ghi`: Global Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_high_clouds`: High Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_low_clouds`: Low Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_medium_clouds`: Medium Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_precip_amt`: Precipitation Amount (mm)
- `weather_precip_prob`: Precipitation Probability (%)
- `weather_pressure`: Pressure (mb)
- `weather_relative_humidity`: Relative Humidity (%)
- `weather_temp_air`: Temperature (°C)
- `weather_total_clouds`: Total Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_visibility`: Visibility (m)
- `weather_wind_direction`: Wind Direction (°)
- `weather_wind_speed`: Wind Speed (kmph)

### WeatherImport Provider

The `WeatherImport` provider is designed to import weather forecast data from a file or a JSON
string. An external entity should update the file or JSON string whenever new prediction data
becomes available.

The prediction keys for the weather forecast data are:

- `weather_dew_point`: Dew Point (°C)
- `weather_dhi`: Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_dni`: Direct Normal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_feels_like`: Feels Like (°C)
- `weather_fog`: Fog (%)
- `weather_frost_chance`: Chance of Frost
- `weather_ghi`: Global Horizontal Irradiance (W/m2)
- `weather_high_clouds`: High Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_low_clouds`: Low Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_medium_clouds`: Medium Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_ozone`: Ozone (du)
- `weather_precip_amt`: Precipitation Amount (mm)
- `weather_precip_prob`: Precipitation Probability (%)
- `weather_preciptable_water`: Precipitable Water (cm)
- `weather_precip_type`: Precipitation Type
- `weather_pressure`: Pressure (mb)
- `weather_relative_humidity`: Relative Humidity (%)
- `weather_temp_air`: Temperature (°C)
- `weather_total_clouds`: Total Clouds (% Sky Obscured)
- `weather_visibility`: Visibility (m)
- `weather_wind_direction`: Wind Direction (°)
- `weather_wind_speed`: Wind Speed (kmph)

The weather forecast data must be provided in one of the formats described in
<project:#prediction-import-providers>. The data source can be given in the
`import_file_path` or `import_json` configuration option.

The data may additionally or solely be provided by the
**PUT** `/v1/prediction/import/WeatherImport` endpoint.